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Independent Singapore Property Research

The research desk: land, supply and prices

Every Singapore new launch starts as a land tender. This is where we follow that pipeline from confirmed list to award to launch price, with the method written out so you can check it.

Updated 15 Aug 2026 · Data: URA GLS Programme, URA REALIS, our transaction dataset

Sites tracked32
Pipeline units18,033
Awarded, pre-launch24
Median land (awarded)$1,334 psf ppr
Latest resultBayshore Drive
Top bid$1,323 psf ppr

What does this section cover?

This is where we work out what Singapore's new homes will cost, and why. We track 33 government land sites carrying about 18,623 future homes, publish a launch-price estimate for each, and show our workings. Filter by category below, or jump straight to the GLS pipeline tracker.

The new EC framework 2026, executive condominium policy analysis
Policy Analysis

The New EC Reality: What the 8 May 2026 Mandate Changes

The new rules apply only to land tendered from 8 May. We work out what that leaves the older stock worth, against what its land cost.

3 Aug 202612 min read
Holland Plain first-mover analysis, District 10
Precinct Analysis

Holland Plain's First Mover: What $1,432 psf ppr Actually Buys

This was the cheapest of eight prime-central land awards since January 2025. But the widely quoted 30.2% gap runs the other way round.

3 Aug 202612 min read
Chuan Grove GLS investment analysis, District 19
Project Analysis

Is Chuan Grove GLS a Good Investment? What Our Data Says, Both Ways

The North-East returned the best median of any region, at 3.93% a year. Against that, a rental yield under 2.8%.

31 Jul 202611 min read
ABSD changes for developers 2026
Policy Analysis

ABSD Changes for Developers: What the New En Bloc Rules Actually Do

Big collective sale sites now get six or seven years to sell, up from 5.5. The 40% tax clawback has not changed.

29 Jul 20269 min read
15-Month Wait-Out Period Removed
Policy Analysis

15-Month Wait-Out Period Removed: Rules, Reasons and Impact

It went on 28 July, replaced by a six-month deadline to sell after you buy. We cover who it applies to, and who still waits 30 months.

Updated 29 Jul 202613 min read
GLS Pipeline Tracker
Live Tracker

GLS Pipeline Tracker

All 32 sites across the 2025 and 2026 programmes. Status, district, unit counts, what the land cost, and our launch estimates.

Updated 7 Jul 202632 sites · 18,033 units
New launch versus resale paired case studies
Data Study

Did New Launches Beat Resale? Four Paired Case Studies

Both launches beat their older neighbours, after entering $150 to $400 psf higher. We look at what the winners had in common.

30 Jul 202610 min read
Dunearn House Analysis
Launch Demand Study · District 11

Dunearn House: How 210 CCR Buyers Chose, Layout by Layout

Take-up ran from 100% down to 14% across ten layouts. One $449,000 step between two four-bedders cost 66 points of take-up.

27 Jul 202611 min read
Thomson Reserve Investment Analysis
Data Study · District 20

Is Thomson Reserve a Good Investment? The 56 Sales, Re-Run

The 56 sales quoted for its neighbours returned 4.76% a year. But every result above 6% closed before 2017.

4 Aug 202611 min read
The 1km question
Data Study · P1 × New Launches

The 1km Question: What P1 Ballot Data Says About New Launch Demand

109 of 179 schools had to ballot in 2025. We show which launches sit inside a 1km ring that actually matters.

19 Jul 202611 min read
Lentor Profitable Sales
Transaction Analysis · D26

Lentor's First 39 Profitable Sub-Sales — and the Land Ledger Behind Them

Thirty-nine profitable early resales, set against what the developer paid for the land.

17 Jul 202610 min read
June 2026 Developer Sales
Monthly Developer Sales

June 2026 Developer Sales: 156 Homes in a Zero-Launch Month

156 homes sold in a month with no new launches at all. We look at what was still moving, and where.

16 Jul 202611 min read
New Upper Changi Road GLS Tender Result
GLS Tender Result

New Upper Changi Road: $1,537 psf ppr, a Suburban Land Record

UOL, CapitaLand and SingLand paid 13.8% above the rest of the field. The cost stack, and the resale gap it has to clear.

2 Sep 20269 min read
Bayshore Drive GLS Tender Result
GLS Tender Result

Bayshore Drive GLS Tender Result: $1,323 psf ppr, Frasers Property Consortium

Frasers took the site at $1,323 psf ppr. We work out what that implies for the launch price, using Vela Bay next door.

16 Jul 202610 min read
GLS H1 2026 Analysis
GLS Analysis

1H 2026 GLS Mid-Year Review: What Developers Actually Paid

What developers actually paid across the first half. And how those bids compare with the same sites a year earlier.

7 Jul 202612 min read
How we estimate launch prices
Methodology

How We Estimate Launch Prices

The model behind every estimate on this site, with the assumptions written out in full.

Model v2.07 Jul 2026
Insider, the PropertyInsider.sg mascot — a bespectacled owl working through figures at a whiteboard.

See tomorrow's launch prices, years before the showflat opens

Most property coverage starts at the showflat. We start about two years earlier, at the land tender — because what a developer pays for a plot is the biggest single reason your future condo costs what it costs, and that number is public the day the tender closes.

So we do the sums in the open. The GLS pipeline tracker lists every government site we follow, with what the land cost and what we think it launches at. The pricing model shows exactly how we get from one to the other, so you can check our working instead of trusting it. Reviews of individual projects live under New Launches; what past buyers actually made when they sold lives under Price Trends.

And when we get it wrong, we say so. Every estimate is logged against the real launch price, and the model is corrected in public. About half our estimates land outside the range we publish — we publish that too.

Frequently asked questions

The questions readers actually send us about this section.

What is a GLS site in Singapore?

A Government Land Sales (GLS) site is state land released for development by public tender, run by URA or HDB. Developers bid, the highest bid usually wins, and that winning price — quoted in dollars per square foot per plot ratio, or psf ppr — becomes the developer's land cost. It is the single largest input into the price the project eventually launches at, and it is public the day the tender closes.

How does PropertyInsider.sg estimate a launch price before the developer announces one?

PropertyInsider.sg starts from the developer's estimated breakeven: land and premiums, construction, financing, professional fees and marketing, divided by the buildable gross floor area. A developer margin of 15 to 30% is applied to that breakeven and the result is rounded to the nearest $10. The full model, its assumptions and the back-test are published at /research/pricing-methodology/.

How accurate are the launch price estimates?

About half of PropertyInsider.sg's estimates land outside the published range, and that distribution is published rather than hidden. Across 42 launched projects with both a cost stack and matched transactions, the achieved average price sat a median 22% above estimated breakeven, but the gap ran wider in the CCR (+34.0%) than the OCR (+18.8%). Each estimate is logged against the real launch price and the model is corrected in public.

What does psf ppr mean?

Psf ppr is dollars per square foot per plot ratio, the standard unit for Singapore land bids. It expresses land cost per square foot of buildable gross floor area, which makes bids comparable across sites of different sizes and plot ratios. It is not the same as the psf you pay for a home, which is measured on strata area.

How often is the GLS pipeline tracker updated?

The PropertyInsider.sg GLS pipeline tracker is updated as tenders are announced, close and are awarded. The government announces its half-year GLS programme twice a year, typically in June and December, and each site moves through confirmed, tendered and awarded stages in the tracker as it goes.

Where does PropertyInsider.sg get its data?

From public primary sources: URA GLS site listings and tender results, URA REALIS transaction records and developer announcements, plus PropertyInsider.sg's own compiled dataset of 149,329 matched resale exits across 683 projects covering March 1995 to August 2026. That dataset keeps the sales that lost money: 18,952 exits, or 12.7%, came out behind.

Does PropertyInsider.sg sell property or represent developers?

No. PropertyInsider.sg is an independent research publication. It does not market projects, take developer fees for coverage, or provide agent services. Advisory consultations offered on the site are a separate service, disclosed in the editorial policy at /editorial-policy/.

Talk it through with an advisor

Our research tells you what the data says. If you want to work through what it means for your own situation — budget, ABSD position, timing an HDB sale, or comparing launches against resale options — you can request a one-to-one consultation.

  • No obligation. The first conversation is about your goals.
  • Affordability and stamp duty worked out on your actual numbers.
  • Launch and tender alerts for the projects you shortlist.

Disclosure: advisory consultations are provided by Jamus Lee (CEA Reg. No. R065771E, ERA Realty Network Pte Ltd, Licence No. L3002382K), the publisher of PropertyInsider.sg, via JamusProperty.com. This is a separate service from our editorial research and has no influence over what we publish. See our editorial policy. Submitting this form shares your details with the advisory practice; see our privacy policy.

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